Shrinking Uncertainty 2 minute readTwo rebuttals against an instinct to ignore uncertainty: 1) knowing what you don’t know keeps you humble and teachable, and gives you guidance about where to...
Predictions and Everyday Distributions 2 minute readIs there a way to make ‘It depends’ be more informative. We could ask, depends on what? This requires a lot more explaining from the statistician and often f...
Credible Prediction – Expected Value & Uncertainty 2 minute readEvery good prediction has at least 2 parts: the expected value and the uncertainty around it.
Measuring How Performant Performance Standards Are 2 minute readWhen most of us think of outcomes being measured, often it is the outcome measures in view – that is, the performance measures students receive as they are a...
